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Old 05-25-2011, 03:42 AM   #1
alicetrade9i
 
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Default 点的纠结行情剖析

  大盘在创下年度内的新高3067点之后,经由疾速杀跌,在2850一线构成收拾走势,成交量低迷,市场 张望情感较重,ferragamo wallets,市场争议颇多,个人以为,对于大盘,能够将其简化分析,大可不用整日去妄加揣测,个人观点,men perfume,仅供参考:
  1、 对于大盘的研判,可以将其简化到其第一权重股601857中国石油的个股分析上,coachoutletonline,将其走势叠加大盘走势,便可高深莫测。中国石油股价目前价位在11元一线,间隔历史位置9.93元,大略 有10%的下跌空间,该股H股走势良好,A股在国际油价暴跌的新闻面刺激下,2011年5月6日跟12日留 下了两个跳空白口,进一步杀跌的动能已经衰竭,再次探底的概率较低,预计在11元一线反弹的概率较大。鉴于 公司的基础面情形,极限下跌位应在10元一线,据此断定,大盘在2850一线造成短期底部的概率较大,高低 50点的震动是可以容忍的,极限下跌位在2680一线,但概率较小。
  2、 关注权重板块的整体估值。目前大盘的权重板块----金融、地产、钢铁、电力、能源(重要为中国石油、中国石化)中,出了煤炭处于绝对高位,其余整体估值皆处于 历史低估值区域,只管在政策面方面,国度出于对通货膨胀、房价过快增加等方面的担忧,出台了一系列的针对性 的货泉压缩政策,但其目标是要标准这些行业的发展,不至于其偏离正常的发展轨道,然而鉴于中国政府经常表示 出的过激行为(例2008年为应答金融危机出台的4万亿基本建设投资-----直接导致了通货膨胀的加剧和房地产行业的疯狂),政策面短期预计仍会对A股市场的上行造成一定 压力。
  3、 对于房地产行业的剖析:房地产始终、也永远是一个与宏观经济环境严密相关的行业,这是一个不争的事实,其相 干行业非常宏大,其兴衰对公民经济的影响宏大,堪称牵一发而动全身,信任政府不会心识不到,所以政府对于房 地产的调控行动,只能是临时的,针对房价过高的布衣愤的短期行为,对于房地产行业,政府决不会一直调控下去 ,一旦房价得到有效把持,政策面的影响因素天然就会打消。而本次对于房地产行业的政策性调控行为,同样也为 投资者供给了一个极佳的投资机遇,没有政策调控,不金融危机,投资者很难买到廉价的筹码。
  4、 政府的底气分析。大盘在08年探底1664点之后,政府新股发行的节奏较快,国际板又将推出,阐明政府对于 目前的股市仍是很有底气的,个人认为,这就是大盘蓝筹股目前的历史低估值区域!至于某些中小企业板块的猖狂 炒作,是股市投契的畸形景象,就像戏台上的跳梁小丑,只有主角压台,这些只是佐料罢了,抖一抖有助于活泼氛 围。
  5、 国际影响:鉴于近期国际股市的牛气形象,唯中国股市熊气十足,政府的体面上也不难看,政府有推进股市上行的 潜在能源。
  总之,鉴于整体的分析,对于大盘目前的走势不必过于担心,有短线操作才能的时刻都可以进场 搏杀,mbt shoes for cheap,没有缺少投资教训的投资者,大可将目光放得久远一些,以时间换空间,以时光换金钱,必定要掌握住这次极佳 的投资机会,风雨之后才会面彩虹!倡议关注的板块:中长线关注的板块:金融、地产,这两大行业也是目前中国 股市的灵魂,灵魂不动,中国股市便难有起色,同仁们可以刮目相待!
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Old 05-25-2011, 05:15 AM   #2
6ssjh8odf
 
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Haikou an obligation to direct traffic nonagenarian 6 6 years,tory burch sale, told reporters that Hainan Medical Association work. In this extraordinary position, he worked for 15 years, never mentioning to the unit requirements, and life is very frugal. In recent years, the daily increase in the sea of ​​vehicles, traffic congestion is becoming more prominent, sea salt and regular traffic jams kitchen Road, Chen Fu before they take the initiative to direct traffic in the ranks, he insisted the whole 6 years.
reporter Yi Jian Yang Wen / map

roads open,tory burch flip flop, Chen uncle laughed

10 am yesterday, more and drizzle, the reporters came Province Longhua People's Hospital clinic next to the stove road salt, this road is a traffic jam, an old man holding an umbrella in the traffic stream kept waving his mouth kept shouting: Open.
It is understood that direct traffic in the rain before the rich old man described as an honest, a provincial security Medical Association. According to its introduction, he is from Anhui Sixian, has been single, come to Hainan in 1982,tory burch online, the current monthly wages of only 500 yuan, but enough to cost him a man. can run, sensitive ears,tory burch flip-flops, do not affect work.
harmony. I direct traffic, the roads open, and I was happy.
obligation to direct traffic 6 years, no regrets

Chen uncle and journalists chatting for a while, on the road and blocking up the vehicle, he immediately took the umbrella command of them took to the streets, smooth path of recovery after ten minutes. Chen uncle told reporters: stove road congestion. Based on the current situation, there is no way of preventing the owners of street parking, so there is no way Yim day no traffic jams,tory burch handbags, and more from 8 am to start blocking, when a serious traffic jam, the public will warning , to the scene to direct traffic police will also ease. I am a janitor,tory burch wedges, usually no big deal, to command the road look, will help ease congestion, I think this makes sense is to do something good for the people, it has always insisted, even will be on the road a little cold. Why should I listen to you. Most drivers can understand. to the traffic jam, he would divert the road for us to reduce a lot of pressure.
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