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Old 06-10-2011, 09:48 AM   #1
qdsk55lmtv
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Default 私募股权研修班o_电价上调疏导成本期待理顺机制

  电价调整方案。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥根据中国证券网转载国家发改委网站消息,发改委 将对部分地区非居民用电价格及火电上网电价进行调整。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥我们认为,销 售电价上调主要是为了疏导电网企业的购电成本,从煤电联动的国家政策来看,也是合理的。_私募股权研修班_ 北京大学私募股权_¥为了减小电价上调对CPI的影响,本次电价调整没有上调居民销售电价。_私募股权研修 班_北京大学私募股权_¥
  发改委将对部分地区非居民用电价格及火电上网电价进行调整,对电力板块形成利好,反映了政府在CPI较 高情况下理顺电价机制的决心。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥我们测算了电价调整对电力行业及上市 公司的影响,期望煤电联动机制能够持续深入进行,同时,建议政府对火电行业出台更多的扶助政策。_私募股权 研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥
  目前,中百集团在湖北四隅建有配送中心,新增咸宁、浠水配送中心有望在2011年投入使用,将大大增强 物业配送能力和降低耗材成本,公司毛利率和存货周转率较弱局面将有所改观,同时为日后省外区域扩张夯实后台 基础。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥未来公司直采比例、配送效率、毛利率甚至规模辐射半径都会由 于后台物流的厚积薄发而有一定程度的提升和改善。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥
  电价调整对行业的影响。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥根据媒体披露的信息及假设,我们初步测 算了电价调整方案对行业的整体影响,主要是增加了发电企业的利润,增厚全年利润约235亿元。_私募股权研 修班_北京大学私募股权_¥另外,由于销售电价调整幅度低于上网电价,所以电网全年利润约减少78亿元,但 销售电价调整的影响仍是正面的,在一定程度上弥补了电网企业购电成本上涨带来的压力,对整个行业来说也提升 了盈利水平。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥
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  电价调整对上市公司的影响。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥本次销售电价上调对电网企业是利好 ,能够消化购电成本的上涨,上市公司中主要有明星电力(600101,股吧)、通宝能源(600780,股 吧)等。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥上次和本次火电上网电价上调,对火电公司是利好,主要是S T能山、建投能源(000600,股吧)、华电国际、国电电力(600795,股吧)、漳泽电力(0007 67,股吧)、华能国际(600011,股吧)等。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥
  我们认为,中百集团在目前A股超市板块中依旧属于性价比较高的标的物,大股东武商联的重组停牌以及同业 竞争问题,仍是短期的股价催化剂,维持“增持”评级。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥我们预计,该 公司2011-2013年每股收益(EPS)分别为0.45元、0.56元和0.72元,以2010年为基期,未来三年复 合年均增长率为25.2%,6个月目标价为13.50元/股,对应2011年主营业务的市盈率为30倍。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥
  电价调整反映政策导向。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥本次电价调整达到了两个目的,一是不直 接影响CPI;二是缓解电力行业亏损的局面。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥同时,本次电价调整也 反映了一种政策导向,即在目前煤电矛盾日益突出、电力供需愈加紧缺的环境下,政策的天平开始向电力企业倾斜 ,这对于整个行业的健康发展是尤为重要的。_私募股权研修班_北京大学私募股权_¥
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Old 06-10-2011, 09:56 AM   #2
djd1mfng
 
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Old 06-10-2011, 10:18 AM   #3
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