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'Arthur M. Okun: 1928-80', Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1: 1-5.
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efficient market (D4)<br />A market in which prices reflect all available information. In a weak version of this market prices reflect past prices; in a stronger version, prices reflect fully all publicly available information. Profits in an efficient market cannot be made by studying historical prices as the traders have that data already. This concept is crucial to the macroeconomic theory of the RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS School. The efficient market hypothesis applied to the stock market is the RANDOM WALK hypothesis.<br /><em>Reference</em><br />Mandelbrot, B. (1966) 'Forecasts of future prices, unbiased markets and martingale models', Security Prices: A Supplement Journal of Business 39: 242-55.<br /> Samuelson, P. (1965) 'Proof that properly anticipated prices fluctuate randomly', Industrial Management Review 6: 41-9.
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