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2010 年 10 月 first phase of the Unfortunately, the
Instead, it points out the various Indian disadvantage relative to China: India's market reforms started late, weak economic foundation, GDP is only a quarter of China's literacy rate was 66%,
alexa mulberry, well below China's 93%, not said that the dilapidated infrastructure, corruption, the government is far better than the Chinese government is efficient, and more. But India's economic growth has now reached 8.5%, and may be accelerating. Morgan Stanley's experts predict that in the next three to five years, India's economic growth will outpace China. Specifically, China's economic growth rate will remain at 8%, India will reach 9% -10%. In the next 20-25 years, India will become the world's fastest growing major economies in the country. Other experts predict, are also similar.
India overtake China's capital, where? The first population, the second in the system. Of course, the two are closely linked. In the seventies of last century, Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi declared a state of emergency population, vigorously promote birth control, the result has caused widespread protests that ultimately forced to give up the policy of forced population control, resulting in the population continues to soar. The Chinese government shows the unparalleled efficiency, vigorously promote the family planning policy, rapid population growth is controlled. No wonder many people have attributed China's economic miracle of family planning to give the
However, the Indian Government on Population Policy in the efficiency of this competition is becoming increasingly seems like Tortoise and the Hare. Now we are standing on a reverse pass. Family planning, high efficiency, so that China's rapidly aging into. 64 to 15 years of age and dependents over the age of the population in the total proportion of the total population, China and India in 1960 after they met or exceeded 80%, a sharp decline in the future. By 2010, China's ratio fell below 40% of the fully realized the However,
paul smith wallet, we The next two or three years, China began a sharp recovery in the dependent population,
paul smith uk, and India has continued to go down. About 15 years later, the two are roughly equal proportion of the population dependent. 2030, China's population will be dependent up to 50%, compared to 45% in India. 2050,
paul smith bag, China's population will be dependent 62% -63% of the highest in India will be 48% down. Another more recent use of indicators to measure, by 2020 India's middle-aged only 28 years, China was 37 years old. In the future more and more old Chinese, the Indians are also more younger. As a result, by 2020 India will add 136 million labor force,
mulberry bags, China can only add 2.3 million.
sociologist Comte has a famous saying: Fewer people working,
handbags online cheap, more people are dependent, economic growth rate will come down. United States, Japan's postwar high economic growth, China's economic miracle today, without exception, and is closely related to population growth and structure. Perhaps more important than the number of staff is that young people tend to be more innovation, which in high-tech knowledge economy in particular. Look at the key breakthroughs in recent decades, from Microsoft, Yahoo, to Google, FACEBOOK, founder are young people. This is reflected in India has very clear. For example, India's world-class enterprise founder of Infosys, seven young people in their twenties at that time. IT company founded in 2000 Globals, the CEO at age 24.
this spirit of innovation, not only by the energy of young people, driven, and the system has been fully guaranteed. This is another of China than in India, another big advantage. The Chinese government in infrastructure construction, etc., must be enforced vigorously, compared to India's democratic system is the lack of basic efficiency. But India in the protection of intellectual property rights, there is much more efficient than China. It's no wonder, India in high technology as creative as the blowout burst, resulting in a number of world-class companies. Chinese enterprises are increasingly relying on government-supported monopoly expansion.
different economic model in India, could have been, The question is, how can such a situation how long? You know, a very low level of education in India, most of the population not engaged in high-tech industries. The Achilles heel of the Indian economy, in fact, is a huge threat to China's economy. India's manufacturing sector is currently unable to move, a big reason is that the infrastructure is too backward. However, this situation is slowly improving. When India's high-tech has brought considerable wealth, most of the population and because low level of education was locked outside in the economic boom, there may inspire new social consensus to the accumulation of wealth to invest in new infrastructure , so that low levels of education and development from manufacturing. Once India achieved in this area pass line is also much cheaper than its much younger population, will be established in the manufacturing industry to China's advantage. Twenty years later, the international transfer of manufacturing to India, I am afraid that will not be a fantasy.
India than China, of course, will not happen overnight. However, in the Therefore, the control of India reflect the
(Xue Yong, a famous critic, author of