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Old 08-06-2011, 09:05 AM   #4
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22126427 2008 年 06 月 15 日 19:44 Reading (loading. ..) Comments (0) Category: strong text reprint
Xinhua Beijing June 14 (Xinhua Yue Ruifang) Economic Research Institute of Renmin University of China from 14 published studies report that deterioration in the external environment and domestic policy under the dual pressure adjustment, China's economic growth in 2008 will be significant fall entered this round of macro economic cycle down range.
report,
based Renmin University of China's macroeconomic analysis and forecasting model-CMAFM model, the report estimated China's annual GDP growth in 2008 will reach 10.4%, compared with 2007, down 1.5 percentage points; three industrial growth rate also fell, with the first secondary industry drastic decline of 1.9 percentage points; nominal growth rate of investment increased slightly over 2007, reaching 25.1%, but the actual growth rate fell significantly; the name of social consumption increased by 19.0%, 2.2 percentage points higher than in 2007,la gear sale, but the actual increase rate dropped slightly; in dollar-denominated export growth rate reached 19.0%,la gear police, compared with 2007 decreased by 6.2 percent and imports rose 25.2%, compared with 2007 increased by 4.4 percentage points; money growth declined in 2007, the narrow money supply reached 18.5%, M2 16.3%; while the CPI continued to rise, reaching 7.1%.
the report, in 2008, China's GDP growth fell sharply in the growth of aggregate demand and aggregate supply in the process decreased at the same time, rapid reversal of the output gap indicates that China has entered a period of macroeconomic down range. Three major industrial growth and demand growth,la gear womens shoes, while three fell, indicating China's macro-economic adjustment has a very clear pro-cyclical effect, is likely to repeat the previous downward adjustment model range - recession.
As for price, in the continuation of price increases in 2007 on the basis of structural, in 2008, the price index will rise further. International input prices, structure sustained rise in the monetary policy dilemma, CPI economic downturn and rising conflicts, imported inflationary pressures and price reform of the conflict, the pattern of income distribution and wage-based inflation adjustment of the conflict prices and price controls the release of the dislocation and other factors not only determines the price the complexity of governance,la gear walking shoes, but also requires a global perspective, historical comparison, a reasonable medium-term perspective and co-ordinate the release of price controls the price,la gear on sale, demand total control and supply of structural adjustment,la gears sneakers, short-term tools and long-term relationship between tools.
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